I think what Garland describes is one of many possibilities. The Witches of 2016 threw an unprecedented, crazy mix of ingredients into a cauldron. All I really know is that it's volatile and appears to be ready to blow. Trump *clearly* had inappropriate relations with Russia that resulted in him taking power, and he keeps pissing (no pun intended) off everyone that could blow the lid off this thing.
The fact that the odds of Garland's predictions being near spot-on are nonzero is in itself astounding. But "nonzero" doesn't mean "likely," and I think this whole mishegas is impossible to predict.
My Twitter friend Linda Fader flagged a thread from Julie Goldberg, whose posts I don't think I'd seen before; she makes a great case for a different path (I'm embedding multiple tweets because she didn't quite thread it continuously. Worth a read, and Julie's worth a follow -- she had me at "I'm nobody."
First five tweets here:
Let me begin by announcing my credentials to write a game theory thread:— Julie Goldberg (@juliegoldberg) June 11, 2017
None. I'm nobody.
I read. I pay attention.
That's it.
Next four:
The people who supposedly know things are starting to worry me.— Julie Goldberg (@juliegoldberg) June 11, 2017
The rest:
They are describing a satisfying ending to TrumpRussia that makes mythic, moral, emotional, and narrative sense. Send up a flare.— Julie Goldberg (@juliegoldberg) June 11, 2017
Some points worth highlighting:
That is how *stories* work, not reality. Have you ever seen a movie based on a historical event you know well? How frustrating it is?— Julie Goldberg (@juliegoldberg) June 11, 2017
First, heroes. Even a cursory understanding of the history of the FBI & U.S. IC reveals that they are hardly morally unambiguous good guys.— Julie Goldberg (@juliegoldberg) June 11, 2017
You are never getting a sit-down with the Director of the CIA and Rachel Maddow, where all is revealed. Never. Stop imagining it.— Julie Goldberg (@juliegoldberg) June 11, 2017
TrumpRussia is NEW. Nothing like this has ever happened before. These are not ordinary crimes. All our frames of reference are likely wrong.— Julie Goldberg (@juliegoldberg) June 11, 2017
We know what impeachment looks like. It does not look like... pic.twitter.com/bcAHTt5lmY— Julie Goldberg (@juliegoldberg) June 11, 2017
When people's financial and geo-political interests align, they don't need to have a super-secret sit-down meeting about it.— Julie Goldberg (@juliegoldberg) June 11, 2017
4. Assume that no rescue is forthcoming. Democracy remains the first item on the to-do list. That's our job.— Julie Goldberg (@juliegoldberg) June 11, 2017
Oh, and heh:
Oh my God. The Orgy of Justice and The False Prophets of Impeachment are the best band names ever. https://t.co/9GOksWEPGV— Linda Fader (@lindafader) June 11, 2017
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